Boreham Woodvs
AFC Fylde
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boreham Wood · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boreham Wood 4-0 AFC Fylde
Original prediction
Boreham Wood
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 67.1% | 71.1% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.99 | 18.3% | 15.6% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 6.27 | 14.6% | 13.3% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Boreham Wood
Probability
71.1%
Model confidence
71.1%
Boreham Wood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00