Borac Cacakvs
TSC Backa Topola
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borac Cacak · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Borac Cacak 2-2 TSC Backa Topola
Original prediction
Borac Cacak
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.3% | 36.6% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.7% | 29.7% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.0% | 33.7% | -8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Borac Cacak
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Borac Cacak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80