Borac Cacakvs
Napredak
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borac Cacak · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Borac Cacak 0-0 Napredak
Original prediction
Borac Cacak
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.1% | 45.9% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.6% | 28.1% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 27.2% | 26.0% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Borac Cacak
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Borac Cacak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80