Borac Cacakvs
Jedinstvo Ub
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borac Cacak · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Borac Cacak 3-1 Jedinstvo Ub
Original prediction
Borac Cacak
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 65.8% | 54.4% | -11.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 21.9% | 25.1% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 7.33 | 12.3% | 20.6% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Borac Cacak
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Borac Cacak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60