Borac Cacakvs
Grafičar
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 9/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borac Cacak · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Borac Cacak 2-1 Grafičar
Original prediction
Borac Cacak
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 55.0% | 44.8% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.2% | 28.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.86 | 18.8% | 26.6% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Borac Cacak
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Borac Cacak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00