Borac Banja Lukavs
Zrinjski
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 9/12/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zrinjski · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Borac Banja Luka 1-0 Zrinjski
Original prediction
Zrinjski
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 45.7% | 34.6% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.1% | 27.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 25.2% | 37.8% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Zrinjski
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Zrinjski has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60