GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca B2 · 10/7/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bonsucesso · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Bonsucesso are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Uni Souza are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bonsucesso hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.0% in the Carioca B2, while Bonsucesso holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bonsucesso

Probability

69.0%

Model confidence

69.0%

Bonsucesso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BonsucessoDLLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Uni SouzaW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
BonsucessoUni Souza
57.8Attack39.4
71.1Defence45.5
55.6Form45.5
60.5Power44.5
2.11xG0.60
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