GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca B2 · 10/13/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bonsucesso · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Bonsucesso are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mageense are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bonsucesso hold a 36.0-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 24.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.2% in the Carioca B2, while Bonsucesso holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bonsucesso

Probability

86.2%

Model confidence

86.2%

Bonsucesso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BonsucessoDDLLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
MageenseLL

GF 0 · GA 8 · avg 0.00/4.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 2/2
BonsucessoMageense
57.8Attack33.3
71.1Defence9.1
55.6Form18.2
60.5Power24.5
3.22xG0.48
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