GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Two · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dumbarton are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dumbarton hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the League Two, while Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticLLDLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DumbartonLDWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticDumbarton
43.5Attack16.7
55.6Defence66.7
36.1Form50.0
45.7Power47.8
1.25xG1.09
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