Regionalliga - WestRegionalliga - West
Friday, 31 July 202618:30Updated today
Bonner SC

Bonner SC

Home
W
vs
18:30
Rot-weiss Oberhausen

Rot-weiss Oberhausen

Away
L
Sportpark Nord
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Bonner SC(28%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Bonner SC
28%
Draw
25%
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
47%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Bonner SC
34
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
34
Defence
Bonner SC
91
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
27
Momentum
Bonner SC
100
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
0
Danger (xG)
Bonner SC
0.90
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
0.90
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.44 xG for Bonner SC and 1.97 xG for Rot-weiss Oberhausen — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Rot-weiss Oberhausen holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.42 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (Bonner SC)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Rot-weiss Oberhausen)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Bonner SC)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Rot-weiss Oberhausen)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Bonner SCBonner SC
W
Rot-weiss OberhausenRot-weiss Oberhausen
LD

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Bonner SC28%
Draw25%
Rot-weiss Oberhausen47%

Rot-weiss Oberhausen leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Rot-weiss Oberhausen Favoured — Model Projects 1-2

Bonner SC host Rot-weiss Oberhausen in Regionalliga - West. Bonner SC have recorded WLWLLL in recent matches while Rot-weiss Oberhausen arrive with a run of DLLWLD. These sides have met 8 times recently, averaging 3.4 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 1.97 expected goals for Rot-weiss Oberhausen against 1.44 for Bonner SC — a clear advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🔄 Head-to-Head Record Rot-weiss Oberhausen have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these sides — a historically dominant record that the model treats as a meaningful signal when the underlying stats are otherwise close.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Bonner SC have averaged 1.24 goals per game recently while Rot-weiss Oberhausen have managed 2.22. Rot-weiss Oberhausen have been the more prolific side — a factor the model weighs in its Rot-weiss Oberhausen win projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

Rot-weiss Oberhausen have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these sides. Historical head-to-head dominance captures tactical matchup advantages that aggregate stats can miss — when one team consistently finds ways to beat the same opponent, that pattern is a meaningful signal in its own right.

Biggest risk: Rot-weiss Oberhausen's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If Bonner SC defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Rot-weiss Oberhausen fail to score in the first half.

Risk factors

  • Rot-weiss Oberhausen have been conceding 2.09 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • These sides have drawn 2 of their last 8 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.

Recent form

Bonner SC

Bonner SC

W
@ Wuppertaler SV
16 May 2026
10
Rot-weiss Oberhausen

Rot-weiss Oberhausen

L
@ Waalwijk
30 Jun 2026
12
D
@ FC Bocholt
16 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bonner SC vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen?

GoalVio's model predicts Bonner SC to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bonner SC vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Bonner SC vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bonner SC vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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