Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bonner SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Bonner SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Porz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bonner SC hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (68.6 v 39.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.8% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bonner SC holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bonner SC
Probability
82.8%
Model confidence
82.8%
Bonner SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20