Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bonner SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Bonner SC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pesch are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bonner SC hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (68.6 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.2% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bonner SC holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bonner SC
Probability
70.2%
Model confidence
70.2%
Bonner SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80