Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bonner SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Bonner SC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hennef 05 are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 2.25 scored and 3.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bonner SC hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (68.6 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.6% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bonner SC holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bonner SC
Probability
80.6%
Model confidence
80.6%
Bonner SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 2.25/3.75