Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bonner SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bonner SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Frechen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bonner SC hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (68.6 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bonner SC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bonner SC
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Bonner SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40