GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 5/4/2025, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pesch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bonn-Endenich are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Pesch are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pesch hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (37.3 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Pesch holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pesch

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Pesch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bonn-EndenichDWLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PeschLWLDW

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Bonn-EndenichPesch
40.2Attack57.8
35.6Defence42.2
29.9Form38.9
37.3Power46.5
1.51xG2.17
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