GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 11/5/2023, 1:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Freialdenhoven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bonn-Endenich are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Freialdenhoven are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Freialdenhoven hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (37.3 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Freialdenhoven holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Freialdenhoven

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Freialdenhoven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bonn-EndenichLWWWD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FreialdenhovenWLDWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Bonn-EndenichFreialdenhoven
40.2Attack54.0
35.6Defence50.6
29.9Form41.4
37.3Power48.8
1.29xG2.04
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