GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 11/12/2023, 1:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Köln II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bonn-Endenich are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fortuna Köln II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Köln II hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (37.3 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Fortuna Köln II holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Köln II

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Fortuna Köln II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bonn-EndenichLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Fortuna Köln IILLWDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bonn-EndenichFortuna Köln II
40.2Attack55.2
35.6Defence46.0
29.9Form44.8
37.3Power48.8
1.40xG2.09
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