GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 9/10/2023, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Bonn-Endenich are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (37.3 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

67.5%

Model confidence

67.5%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bonn-EndenichLWLL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.75/3.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Bergisch GladbachLWLWW

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bonn-EndenichBergisch Gladbach
40.2Attack60.9
35.6Defence64.4
29.9Form66.7
37.3Power63.8
0.88xG2.42
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