Bolívarvs
Universitario de Vinto
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 10/27/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolívar · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bolívar 2-1 Universitario de Vinto
Original prediction
Bolívar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 04:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 82.2% | 78.6% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 8.30 | 11.1% | 12.5% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 13.78 | 6.7% | 8.9% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.4–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Bolívar
Probability
78.6%
Model confidence
78.6%
Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40