Bolívarvs
The Strongest
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 8/30/2026, 9:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolívar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bolívar 4-2 The Strongest
Original prediction
Bolívar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.3% | 38.5% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.8% | 27.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.80 | 23.8% | 34.3% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Bolívar
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80