GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 2/12/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bolívar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Bolívar are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Royal Pari are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolívar hold a 26.0-point power-rating edge (68.9 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.3% in the Primera División, while Bolívar holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bolívar

Probability

79.3%

Model confidence

79.3%

Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BolívarWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 3.50/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Royal PariWW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
BolívarRoyal Pari
80.0Attack41.7
64.4Defence44.8
66.7Form36.5
68.9Power42.8
3.09xG0.76
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