GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 4/26/2026, 9:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bolívar · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Bolívar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Tomayapo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolívar hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (68.9 v 30.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the Primera División, while Bolívar holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bolívar

Probability

91.7%

Model confidence

15.3%

Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BolívarLDWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real TomayapoDDLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BolívarReal Tomayapo
80.0Attack24.4
64.4Defence31.1
66.7Form26.7
68.9Power30.6
3.99xG0.49
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