Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bolívar 0-0 Petare FC, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bolívar 0-0 Petare FC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 12:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.0% | 33.7% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 29.8% | 30.6% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 31.2% | 35.7% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.99 · Draw 1.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Bolívar 0–0 Petare FC
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.6%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BolívarWWWWW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Petare FCLWDLW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BolívarPetare FC
45.7Attack48.1
61.7Defence70.4
56.8Form58.0
56.7Power59.8
0.86xG1.01