Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bolívar are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Petare FC are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolívar hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00