Bolívarvs
Monagas SC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 8/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolívar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bolívar 1-3 Monagas SC
Original prediction
Bolívar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 30.8% | 36.4% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 27.9% | 28.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.3% | 35.1% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Bolívar
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BolívarWWLLW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Monagas SCDLWLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BolívarMonagas SC
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24