Bolívarvs
Monagas II
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 5/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monagas II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bolívar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Monagas II are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Monagas II hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 63.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.6% in the Segunda División, while Monagas II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monagas II
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
21.6%
Monagas II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20