Bolívarvs
Atletico-MG
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/17/2025, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bolívar are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolívar hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60