Bolívarvs
Atletico Avila FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolívar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bolívar 0-0 Atletico Avila FC, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bolívar 2-1 Atletico Avila FC
Original prediction
Bolívar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.1% | 50.3% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.8% | 31.8% | 6.1 pts |
| Away | 5.92 | 15.1% | 17.9% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Projected Score
Bolívar 0–0 Atletico Avila FC
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Bolívar
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BolívarLWWLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico Avila FCLLDLD
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BolívarAtletico Avila FC
35.2Attack14.8
64.8Defence63.0
50.0Form24.1
52.6Power36.9
0.88xG0.45