Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bolívar 0-0 Aragua FC, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bolívar 1-1 Aragua FC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Projected Score
Bolívar 0–0 Aragua FC
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.2%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BolívarLLWWL
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Aragua FCWWDWW
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BolívarAragua FC
40.9Attack36.4
62.1Defence75.8
54.5Form53.0
54.7Power57.1
0.65xG0.76