Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolívar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Bolívar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while ABB are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolívar hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Primera División, while Bolívar holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bolívar
Probability
80.4%
Model confidence
9.3%
Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60