Bolusporvs
Vanspor FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vanspor FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boluspor 0-3 Vanspor FK
Original prediction
Vanspor FK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.05 | 22.6% | 31.1% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.1% | 29.3% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 52.2% | 39.6% | -12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Vanspor FK
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Vanspor FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80