Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mardin BB · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Boluspor are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mardin BB are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and mardin BB hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 1. Lig, favouring Mardin BB with 14.0% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mardin BB
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
14.0%
Mardin BB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20