Bolusporvs
Keçiörengücü
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keçiörengücü · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boluspor 0-2 Keçiörengücü
Original prediction
Keçiörengücü
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.19 | 17.5% | 32.1% | 14.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.3% | 26.6% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.1% | 41.3% | -18.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Keçiörengücü
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Keçiörengücü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80