Bolusporvs
Antalyaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/10/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antalyaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boluspor 0-1 Antalyaspor
Original prediction
Antalyaspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.17 | 17.5% | 23.0% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.6% | 25.6% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.52 | 59.9% | 51.4% | -8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Antalyaspor
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Antalyaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00