Boltonvs
Manchester United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/26/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Bolton are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Manchester United U21 are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolton hold a 66.4-point power-rating edge (88.5 v 22.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Bolton holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bolton
Probability
79.5%
Model confidence
79.5%
Bolton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50