GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/10/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bolton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Bolton are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Huddersfield are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolton hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (88.5 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Bolton holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bolton

Probability

67.0%

Model confidence

67.0%

Bolton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BoltonWDWWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HuddersfieldWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BoltonHuddersfield
100.0Attack66.7
88.9Defence50.0
88.9Form50.0
88.5Power55.0
2.78xG1.16
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