BoltonvsFleetwood Town

Bolton are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fleetwood Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolton hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (88.5 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Bolton holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.