BoltonvsAston Villa U21

Bolton are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Aston Villa U21 are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLLD), averaging 2.25 scored and 2.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolton hold a 59.0-point power-rating edge (88.5 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Bolton holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.