Bolognavs
SC Freiburg
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/2/2025, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bologna are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SC Freiburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (57.7 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40