BolognavsRed Bull Salzburg

Bologna are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Red Bull Salzburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Bull Salzburg hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (57.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bologna holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.