Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bologna · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bologna are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Brann are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bologna hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (57.7 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bologna holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bologna
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Bologna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40