Bolognavs
Aston Villa
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 4/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aston Villa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bologna are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Aston Villa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (57.7 v 79.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aston Villa
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Aston Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00