Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Bologna

Bologna

Home
WW
04
Full time
Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Arminia Bielefeld33%
Bologna33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Bologna
33%
Draw
33%
Arminia Bielefeld
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Bologna
34
Arminia Bielefeld
100
Defence
Bologna
91
Arminia Bielefeld
91
Momentum
Bologna
100
Arminia Bielefeld
100
Danger (xG)
Bologna
1.08
Arminia Bielefeld
9.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Bologna)
1.08
avg per match
xG for (Arminia Bielefeld)
9.00
avg per match
xG against (Bologna)
0.51
avg per match
xG against (Arminia Bielefeld)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
BolognaBologna
DWWW
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld
WW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Bologna33%
Draw33%
Arminia Bielefeld33%

Arminia Bielefeld leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Bologna head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in decent form (WW), while Arminia Bielefeld arrive in mixed form (W). Bologna have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Arminia Bielefeld over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Bologna (91/100) and Arminia Bielefeld (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Bologna have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Arminia Bielefeld have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 10.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Bologna have generated 1.08 xG per game recently while conceding 0.51 xG per match.

There is no head-to-head data between Bologna and Arminia Bielefeld in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Arminia Bielefeld to win with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Bologna 3333%, Draw 3333%, Arminia Bielefeld 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Bologna

Bologna

D
@ Atalanta
17 May 2026
00
W
@ Napoli
11 May 2026
32
W
vs Brann
26 Feb 2026
10
xG 1.2
W
@ Brann
19 Feb 2026
10
xG 0.9
Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld

W
@ Imst
14 Jul 2026
100
W
vs Hertha BSC
17 May 2026
61

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld?

GoalVio's model predicts Arminia Bielefeld to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more