GGOALVIO

Sweden · Svenska Cupen · 8/26/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

United Nordic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Bollstanäs 0-2 United Nordic

Original prediction

United Nordic

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home8.0111.3%38.3%27.0 pts
Draw5.0717.8%23.0%5.2 pts
Away1.2770.9%38.8%-32.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-32.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.1–18%
  3. 3.3–17%

Predicted outcome

United Nordic

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

United Nordic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BollstanäsWWWDW

GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
United NordicWDDDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
BollstanäsUnited Nordic
100.0Attack60.0
33.3Defence33.3
100.0Form40.0
80.3Power43.3
2.53xG1.56
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