Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Námestovo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boleráz 1-1 Námestovo
Original prediction
Námestovo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 10:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.13 | 17.5% | 33.5% | 15.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.79 | 18.8% | 24.0% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 63.7% | 42.5% | -21.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Námestovo
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Námestovo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BolerázWDLDD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NámestovoWWWDW
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BolerázNámestovo
50.0Attack66.7
83.3Defence100.0
66.7Form66.7
68.0Power74.3
1.87xG1.74