GGOALVIO

England · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boldmere St. Michaels · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Boldmere St. Michaels are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while St Ives Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and St Ives Town hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the FA Trophy, while Boldmere St. Michaels holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boldmere St. Michaels

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Boldmere St. Michaels has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boldmere St. MichaelsLDLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
St Ives TownWDDLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Boldmere St. MichaelsSt Ives Town
44.4Attack77.8
55.6Defence44.4
66.7Form66.7
57.3Power64.7
1.67xG1.65
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