Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bokelj · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 32.4% | 37.4% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.71 | 33.4% | 31.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.2% | 31.3% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Bokelj
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Bokelj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BokeljWDWLD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PetrovacLLLDD
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BokeljPetrovac
50.0Attack16.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form16.7
50.0Power36.5
1.20xG0.88