Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bokelj 0-0 Dečić, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bokelj 2-0 Dečić
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 33.0% | 29.2% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.9% | 34.8% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.2% | 36.0% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Projected Score
Bokelj 0–0 Dečić
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
36.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BokeljLWDWL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DečićLDLDL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
BokeljDečić
25.9Attack33.3
66.7Defence73.3
44.4Form50.0
47.2Power53.6
0.47xG0.64