GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boise · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Boise are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Spokane Velocity are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.1 against 54.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the USL League One, while Boise holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boise

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

14.4%

Boise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BoiseLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Spokane VelocityLWWLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BoiseSpokane Velocity
49.2Attack43.9
54.0Defence59.6
54.0Form56.1
54.1Power54.3
1.28xG1.11
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