Boisevs
Sarasota Paradise
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 5/28/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boise · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Boise are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sarasota Paradise are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boise hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 38.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the USL League One, while Boise holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Boise
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Boise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40